I have already written an introduction to the subject of interest rates, and now I would like to put some flesh on the bones.
Why is it that so many people – including many who ought to
know better – would have us believe that interest rate rises harm the economy?
Why is it that so many people would have us believe that
interest rate cuts are good for the economy?
If this were true, then surely any sensible government would cut
interest rates to zero and leave them there.
The reason why this does not happen is that low interest
rates are not always the right thing for the economy.
When interest rates increase, people with mortgages pay more
in interest on their mortgages, and therefore have less money to spend on other
goods. Nevertheless this money that they
are paying in interest on their mortgages does not evaporate.
Some of that money is paid out to savers in higher interest
payments, and some of it is paid out to shareholders in dividends, and some of
it is doubtless paid out to directors in bonuses. Some of the money might even find its way
into the coffers of the Treasury in the form of taxation.
Any of the various recipients of this money can choose to
either spend it or save it.
In the same way, when interest rates are reduced, people
with mortgages pay less in interest, but savers earn less, and so on. The people with mortgages who are better off
can choose to spend their extra money or save it.
When money is spent, it can boost the economy. That is obvious. When the money is saved, it provides money
for the banks to lend out to people and businesses, and that too can help the
economy. That is not so obvious, but you
might nevertheless expect politicians and economists to grasp that fact.
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